Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000778 0.000887 0.001003 0.001134 0.001279 0.001432 0.001607
2025-03-16 0.000594 0.000743 0.000912 0.001116 0.001354 0.001622 0.001945
2025-03-23 0.000498 0.000664 0.000861 0.001110 0.001411 0.001762 0.002198
2025-03-30 0.000428 0.000605 0.000824 0.001110 0.001469 0.001898 0.002445
2025-04-06 0.000370 0.000551 0.000785 0.001099 0.001505 0.002004 0.002653
2025-04-13 0.000319 0.000500 0.000742 0.001079 0.001525 0.002086 0.002830
2025-04-20 0.000292 0.000479 0.000736 0.001103 0.001600 0.002236 0.003096
2025-04-27 0.000266 0.000456 0.000725 0.001118 0.001663 0.002371 0.003342
2025-05-04 0.000235 0.000422 0.000696 0.001106 0.001685 0.002452 0.003520
2025-05-11 0.000206 0.000389 0.000663 0.001085 0.001694 0.002514 0.003671
2025-05-18 0.000190 0.000373 0.000655 0.001099 0.001750 0.002640 0.003911
2025-05-25 0.000173 0.000354 0.000641 0.001103 0.001791 0.002743 0.004121
2025-06-01 0.000149 0.000322 0.000604 0.001070 0.001778 0.002775 0.004235
2025-06-08 0.000129 0.000292 0.000570 0.001039 0.001766 0.002805 0.004348
2025-06-15 0.000116 0.000276 0.000555 0.001036 0.001796 0.002895 0.004545
2025-06-22 0.000105 0.000261 0.000542 0.001036 0.001828 0.002988 0.004747
2025-06-29 0.000094 0.000245 0.000524 0.001026 0.001844 0.003058 0.004917
2025-07-06 0.000083 0.000226 0.000501 0.001007 0.001844 0.003103 0.005052
2025-07-13 0.000078 0.000222 0.000503 0.001029 0.001911 0.003250 0.005335
2025-07-20 0.000073 0.000215 0.000501 0.001044 0.001966 0.003377 0.005594
2025-07-27 0.000065 0.000202 0.000484 0.001032 0.001976 0.003438 0.005755
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000187 0.000464 0.001012 0.001973 0.003477 0.005883
2025-08-10 0.000053 0.000182 0.000462 0.001026 0.002024 0.003602 0.006141